Today is the 53th day of the hardest lockdown of the world, implemented in India, beginning 24th March 2020, in an attempt to tame the COVID-19growth. The third phase of the lockdown will be ending on 17th and nobody knows whether the government will extend it further or not. This lockdown has enabled the country to substantially curb the COVID-19 growth rate but the way this lockdown was imposed by the government without any deliberations has created a huge chaos of millions of Indians.
At the time of the Pre Lock-down, the first infected case of COVID-19 was reported from Kerala on 30th January. If the data from that date up to 23rd March is examined, it can be seen that India was able to trace and identify only 471 cases in that long window. Another point to note that 70% of the above tests were done in the final 6 days between 18th March to 23rd March.
As of today, it touched around 63,000 cases and during the last 7 days an average of 3610 daily cases were reported, this figure is 2.6 times the daily growth rate which was prevailing two weeks before the tall claim of zero growth rate prediction which was made by the Indian Government.
After analysing the present trend, the analysis shows that India may cross 80,000 infections by 15th May and 1,00,000 infections by 20th May. It is high time that India should closely look at the district level testing and detection and should release the district level testing data, this will give a macro level information.
By – Anjani Sharma
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